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Bucureti 2014

RREEFFEERREENNII TTIIIINNIIFFIICCII Maricel ANTIPA - Universitatea Naional de Aprare Irena DUMITRU - Academia Naional de Informaii Cristian JURA - Univ. Cretin D. Cantemir, Bucureti

Marius LAZR - Universitatea Babe-Boliay, Cluj-Napoca Radu SAGEAT - Inst. de Geografie al Academiei Romne tefan GEORGESCU - Universitatea A. aguna, Constana

CCOOLLEEGGIIUULL DDEE RREEDDAACCIIEE DIRECTOR FONDATOR: Vasile SIMILEANU

SENIOR EDITOR: Vasile SIMILEANU Documentare: Dnu Radu SGEAT

Redactori: Alexandru DINU Alexandra DUDU

Roxana MANEA Monica MUU Irina PARASCHIV Gyrgy TODORAN

Marius VCRELU

Website: Florin CARABAU Andrei URCNAU

REDACTOR EF: Cristina GEORGESCU Corespondeni speciali: Cleopatra LORINIU

Ramona FERARU Ion PETRESCU Corneliu VLAD Hichem BEN YACHE

Corespondeni: Mdlina DIACONU - Clubul Presei Transatlantice Igbal HACIYEV - Azerbaidjan Sergean OSMAN - Belgia Indra ALHAMBRA - Israel Coperta i grafica: Vasile SIMILEANU

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CCOONNSSIILLIIUULL TTIIIINNIIFFIICC ACADEMIA ROMN

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INTERNATIONAL BOARD Alam ANWAR - Centre for West Asian Studies, Jamia Millia Islamia, New Delhi, India Zeljko BJELJAC - Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijic, Serbian Academy of Sciences and Arts, Belgrade, Serbia Alex BERCA - SUA Christian BOLVAR - Chilean Army War College, Santiago, Chile Maurizio BONI - Headquarters NATO Rapid Deployable Corps - Italy Michele BRUNELLI - Universit degli Studi di Bergamo, Italy Come CARPENTIER DE GOURDON - World Affairs Journal, New Delhi, India. Michel CHOSSUDOVSKY - Centre for Research on Globalization (CRG), Montreal, Qc. Canada Dimitrios DALAKLIS - World Maritime University, Malm, Sweden Nicholas DIMA - Selous Foundation for Public Policy Research, USA Sevdalina DIMITROVA - National Military University "Vasil Levski", Veliko Tarnovo, Bulgaria Serhiy DZHERDZH - NATO-Ukraine Civic League, Ukraine Viacheslav DZIUNDZIUK - National Academy of Public Administration, Ukraine Tiberio GRAZZIANI - LIstituto di Alti Studi in Geopolitica e Scienze Ausiliarie (IsAG), Roma, Italia Jaroslaw GRYZ - National Defence University and University of Finance and Management in Warsaw, Poland Mara S. GUBAIDULLINA - Al-Farabi Khazach National University, Almaty, Kazakhstan Serji HAKMAN - Universitatea Cernui, Ucraina Radu HERVIAN - Drake Institute for Social Studies, Philadelphia, USA Leonard HOCHBERG - Mackinder Forum, USA Jean-Baptiste HUMEAU - Universit d`Angers, France Karolina ILIESKA - University St. Kliument Ohridski-Bitila, Faculty of Economics, Prilep, R. Macedonia Slobodan JANKOVIC - Institute of International Politics and Economics, Belgrade, Serbia David A. JONES - University of Warsaw, Poland Thede KAHL - Institute for Romance Languages, Wien, Austria Dincho KARAMUNCHEV - Geopolitics Consulting LTD, Bulgaria Vladimir KARYAKIN - Russia`s Institute for Strategic Studies, Russia Swapnil KISHORE - IDC Herzliya - International School, Israel Yana KOROBKO - International Advisory Council of the Institute of Peace and Development, Canada Tamara KOVAEVI - University of Novi Sad, Serbia Anatoliy KRUGLASHOV - Yuriy Fedkovych Chernivtsi National University, Ukraine Sohail MAHMOOD - Preston University, Islamabad, Pakistan

Matthew KWASIBORSKI - European Institutes Director at The Fund for American Studies, USA Satoshi MORISHIMA - Middle East Cultural Research Institute, Tokyo, Japan Isa MULAJ - Institute for Economic Policy Research and Analyses, Pristina, Kosovo Claudio MUTTI - Rivista Eurasia, Italy Elman NASIROV - Academy of Public Administration under the President of the Republic of Azerbaijan John O`LOUGHLIN - University of Colorado, USA Charles PENNAFORTE - Universidade Paulista, So Paulo, Brasil Donila PIPA - Faculty of Law, 'Vitrina' University, Tirane Daniel PIPES - Middle East Forum, USA Benjamin POGHOSYAN - Institute for National Strategic Studies - MOD, Armenia Walter POSCH - Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, Berlin, Deutschland Maria PTASHKINA - National Research University - Higher School of Economics, Russian APEC Study Center, Moscow, Russia Hans H. REISER - Regionalgeograph Donaulnder, Deutschland Charles SAINT-PROT - lObservatoire dtudes gopolitiques Paris, France Mohammed Saeed AL-SHAKARCHI - Ambasador Extraordinar i Plenipoteniar al Republicii Irak la Nairobi, Kenya Steven Alan SAMSON - Helms School of Government Liberty University, Lynchburg, USA Jos J. SANMARTN - Universidad de Alicante, Espaa Daniele SCALEA - Universit degli Studi 'La Sapienza', Rome, Italy Musa SHTEIWI - Jordanian Center for Strategic Studies, Amman, Jordan Gregory SIMONS - Centre for Russian and Eurasian Studies Uppsala, Sweden Vitalie SOCHIRC - Universitatea de Stat din Chiinu, R. Moldova Vladimir TESIC - Research Center for Western Balkan Security Issues, Serbia Mohamad TROUDI - L'Institut International d'Etudes Stratgiques (IIES), Paris, France Nuray TURKER - Karabuk University, Turkey Andrei VOLOSHIN - Institutul de Economie Mondial, Lyov, Ucraina Daniel WAGNER - Country Risk Solutions, Connecticut, USA; Immanuel WALLERSTEIN - Dept. of Sociology Yale University, New Haven, USA Suolao WANG - Center for International & Strategic Studies, Peking University, Beijing, China Jan WENDT - Institute of Geography, Gdask University, Poland Shams uz ZAMAN - National Defence University Islamabad, Pakistan

NATIONAL BOARD Anghel ANDREESCU - Universitatea Bioterra, Bucureti Constantin ANECHITOAE - Universitatea Ovidius, Constana Cristian BARNA - Academia Naional de Informaii, Bucureti Dumitru BORUN - SNSPA Bucureti Cristian BRAGHIN - Universitatea din Bucureti Anna-Eva BUDURA - Universitatea Ovidius, Constana Olivia COMA - Centrul de Inginerie Tehn. Obiective Nucleare Dan DUNGACIU - Inst. de Relaii Internaionale al Acad. Romne George ERDELI - Universitatea din Bucureti Clin FELEZEU - Universitatea Babe-Boliay, Cluj-Napoca Tasin GEMIL - Inst. Turcologie i Studii Central-Asiatice, Cluj-Napoca tefan GEORGESCU - Universitatea Andrei aguna, Constana Cornel GRIGORU - Universitatea Ovidius, Constana Constantin HLIHOR - Univ. Cretin Dimitrie Cantemir, Bucureti Ioan IANO - Universitatea din Bucureti

Alexandru ILIE - Universitatea din Oradea Nicolae IORDAN-CONSTANTINESCU - UFB, Bucureti Vasile NAZARE - Asociaia de Geopolitic Ion Conea Florin PINTESCU - Universitatea tefan cel Mare, Suceava Nicolae POPA - Universitatea de Vest, Timioara Ionu PURIC - Universitatea Hyperion - Bucureti Nicolae RADU - Academia de Poliie - Al.I. Cuza, Bucureti Nicolae ROTARU - Academia Naional de Informaii, Bucureti Dnu-Radu SGEAT - Inst. de Geografie al Academiei Romne Vasile SIMILEANU - Academia de Studii Economice, Bucureti Rodica STICULESCU - Universitatea Ovidius, Constana Cristian TLNG - Universitatea din Bucureti Tiberiu TNASE - Universitatea Cretin D. Cantemir, Bucureti Cristian TRONCOT - Academia Naional de Informaii, Bucureti Rzvan ZAHARIA - Academia de Studii Economice, Bucureti

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Anul XII, nr. 58 (4 / 2014)

SUMAR ................................

EDITORIAL .......... ................................................................................

Vasile SIMILEANU ................. Intelligence: de la Naional la Satul Global ............................................................... ............. 07

................................

INTERVIU .......... ................................................................................

Balazs BARABAS .............. Interviu cu Edward LUTTWAK, consultantul de origine romn la care apeleaz .... ................. Pentagonul ..................................................................................................................... ............. 09

................................

EVENIMENT .......... ................................................................................

Alexandra DUDU .............. Zece ani care au transformat Azerbaidjanul ................................................................ ............. 15

................................

GEOPOLITIC .......... Anghel ANDREESCU .................

Semnificaia Summitului NATO din sept. 2014 asupra securitii naionale.............. ................. a Romniei, aflat n zona de est a UE i a Organizaiei Atlanticului de Nord ........... ............. 17

................................................................................

Gheorghe VDUVA .............. Un nou dinozaur strategic? Efecte geopolitice ale posibilei transformri.................. ................. a Organizaiei de Cooperare de la Shanghai ntr-o organizaie de securitate............ ............. 21

................................................................................

Serhiy DZHERDZH .............. The Myths of Novorossiya: .......................................................................................... ................. Kremlin Reinvents Ukrainian History to Justify Invasion............................................. ............. 27

................................................................................

Vasile NAZARE .............. Geopolitica Noului Orient Mijlociu dup Primvara Arab......................................... ............. 29

................................

GEOSTRATEGIE .......... Nicolae RADU .................

Arhitecturi i perspective operaionale Intelligence n prevenirea i combaterea.... ................. terorismului .................................................................................................................... ............. 46

................................................................................

Tiberiu TNASE .............. Puncte de vedere privind cooperarea n domeniul Intelligence-ului n cadrul UE..... ................. i necesitatea dezvoltrii cooperrii ntre UE i NATO................................................. ............. 54

................................................................................

Iulian LZRESCU .............. Rolul NATO n asigurarea securitii complexului fluvio-maritim european: ............ ................. Geo-Intelligence versus legislaie.................................................................................. ............. 63

................................................................................

Romulus HLDAN ................. Importana Intelligence n deinerea supremaiei navale........................................... ............. 71

................................................................................

Aliodor MANOLEA ................. Aciunile de Intelligence n Transcendent Warfare (Rzboiul transpersonal)............ ............. 77

................................................................................

Agata Mihaela POPESCU, Luminia KOHALMI ................. Impactul epocii informaionale asupra securitii: conflictele de grani de tip ...... ................. Google Maps ............................................................................................................... ............. 84

................................

GEOINTELLIGENCE .......... Silviu NATE ..............

Paradoxul informaiei: clieul securitii ntre paradox i realitate ........................... ............. 90 ................................................................................

6

Ionut PURICA ................. Measuring Information Gain on Cyber Attacks............................................................ ............. 97

................................................................................

Dan Ion OPREA .............. Reelele de socializare i sigurana naional............................................................... ........... 100

................................................................................

Sebastian SRBU ................. Ameninarea cibernetic i problematica securitizrii informaiilor: ........................ ................. o analiz critic a conceptelor de ciber-putere i ciber-spaiu.................................... ........... 116

................................................................................

Aitana BOGDAN .............. Building an Intelligence Strategy in the Information Age: ......................................... ................. Challenges and Best Practices ....................................................................................... ........... 124

................................................................................

Gyrgy TODORAN ................. Vulnerabiliti ale sistemelor informatice.................................................................... ........... 130

................................................................................

Tiberiu TNASE, Roxana OPREA .............. Transformarea Intelligence-lui prin dezvoltarea noilor tehnologii............................. ........... 136

................................

GEOECONOMIE .......... Abdel Rahman A RAOUF ..............

Economic Diplomacy ...................................................................................................... ........... 143 ................................................................................

Anca SAVU ................. Provocrile mediului de afaceri n economia global.................................................. ........... 145

................................ ................................................................................

Stelua Mdlina NEACU, Cristian MOIU ................. Nevoia de Intelligence, Strategia de securitate i decizia geo-economic ................. ........... 153

................................

STUDII DE CAZ .......... Octavian SERGENTU .................

Factorul analitic i serviciile ruseti de Intelligence .................................................... ........... 166 ................................................................................

Ricardo RUNZA ................. Principales amenazas y riesgos a la seguridad internacional que son posibles ......... ................. y probables de ser originados en territorio sudamericano ......................................... ........... 187

................................................................................

Daniel COPOSESCU ................. The Danish Cartoons Controversy and Free Speech .................................................... ........... 196

................................................................................

Vlad Ctlin MOCANU ................. Conflicte ngheate. Informaia de peste muni: Caucazul... ....................................... ........... 202

................................

PUNCTE DE VEDERE .......... Hossein RABIEE, Mosayeb GHAREHBEYGI, Seyyedeh Shahrbanou MOUSAVI .................

Hegemony of Iran in the Caspian - Central Asia Region from the Perspective ......... ................. of Geopolitical Realities ................................................................................................. ........... 206

................................

UNIVERSITAS .......... Monica MUU ..............

Importana geopolitic a Azerbaidjanului n noul context internaional................... ........... 216 ................................

GEOISTORIE .......... Ioan Codru LUCINESCU .................

August 1916. Sigurana General a statului avertizeaz Guvernul Brtianu.............. ........... 218 ................................................................................

Alina BUZIANU ................. Decembrie 1989. Raportul dintre modurile de prezentare a invaziei militare .......... ................. a SUA n Panama i cea a Revoluiei Romne. Rzboi psihologic original: ................ ................. Bucureti vs. Panama City.............................................................................................. ........... 225

................................

SEMNAL EDITORIAL ..........