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    Inflation,Inflation, StringStringyy LandscapeLandscape

    and Anthropic Principleand Anthropic Principle

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    Inflation in String TheoryInflation in String TheoryThe volume stabilization problem:

    A potential of the theory obtained by compactification instring theory of type IIB:

    The potential with respect to X and Y is very steep, these fields rapidly run

    down, and the potential energy Vvanishes. We must stabilize these fields.

    Volume stabilization: KKLT construction

    Kachru, Kallosh, A.L., Trivedi 2003

    Xand Yare canonically normalized field corresponding to the dilaton fieldand to the volume of the compactified space; !is the field driving inflation

    Dilaton stabilization: Giddings, Kachru, Polchinski 2001

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    Basic steps of the KKLT scenario:

    Basic steps of the KKLT scenario:

    AdS minimumAdS minimum Metastable dS minimumMetastable dS minimum

    1) Start with a theory with runaway potential discussed above

    2) Bend this potential down due to nonperturbative quantum

    effects

    3) Uplift the minimum to the state with a positive vacuum

    energy by adding a positive energy of an anti-D3 brane in

    warped Calabi-Yau space

    100 150 200 250 300 350 400s

    -2

    -1.5

    -1

    -0.5

    0.5

    V

    100 150 200 250 300 350 400s

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    0.8

    1

    1.2

    V

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    It was never easy to discuss anthropicIt was never easy to discuss anthropic

    principle, even with friendsprinciple, even with friends

    But recently the concept of the string theoryBut recently the concept of the string theory

    landscape came to the rescuelandscape came to the rescue

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    String Theory LandscapeString Theory Landscape

    Perhaps 10Perhaps 1010001000

    different minimadifferent minima

    Bousso, Polchinski; Susskind; Douglas, Denef,Bousso, Polchinski; Susskind; Douglas, Denef,Bousso, Polchinski; Susskind; Douglas, Denef,

    LercheLerche, Lust, Schellekens 1987, Lust, Schellekens 1987

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    Two types of string inflation models:Two types of string inflation models:

    Modular Inflation.Modular Inflation.The simplest class of models.

    They use only the fields that are already present

    in the KKLT model.

    Brane inflation.Brane inflation. The inflaton field corresponds to

    the distance between branes in Calabi-Yau

    space. Historically, this was the first class of

    string inflation models.

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    Inflation in string theoryInflation in string theory

    KKLMMT brane-anti-brane inflation

    Racetrack modular inflation

    D3/D7 brane inflation

    DBI inflation (non-minimal kinetic terms)

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    CMB and InflationCMB and InflationBlue and black dots- experimental results (WMAP, ACBAR)

    Brown line- predictions of inflationary theory

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    Predictions of Inflation:Predictions of Inflation:

    1) The universe should be homogeneous, isotropic and flat,"= 1 + O(10-4) ["=#/#0]

    2) Inflationary perturbations should be gaussian and

    adiabatic, with flat spectrum, ns= 1+ O(10-1). Spectral index

    ns slightly differs from 1. (This is an important prediction,

    similar to asymptotic freedom in QCD.)

    Observations: perturbations are gaussian and adiabatic,with flat spectrum:

    Observations: it is homogeneous, isotropic and flat:

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    Tensor modes:Tensor modes:

    Kallosh, A.L. 2007

    It does make sense to look for tensor modes even if

    none are found at the level r ~ 0.1 (Planck)

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    The height of the KKLT barrier is smaller than |VAdS| =m2

    3/2. The

    inflationary potential Vinflcannot be much higher than the height of thebarrier. Inflationary Hubble constant is given by H2= Vinfl/3 < m

    23/2.

    Constraint on Hand rin this class of models:

    H < m3/2

    V

    VAdS

    Modification ofVat large H

    STRING COSMOLOGY AND GRAVITINO MASSSTRING COSMOLOGY AND GRAVITINO MASS

    Kallosh, A.L. 2004

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    Tensor Modes and GRAVITINO

    Superheavy

    gravitino

    A discovery or non-discovery of tensor modesA discovery or non-discovery of tensor modes

    would be a crucial test for string theorywould be a crucial test for string theory

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    Inflationary MultiverseInflationary Multiverse

    For a long time, people believed in the cosmological principle,which asserted that the universe is everywhere the same.

    This principle is no longer required. Inflationary universe may

    consist of many parts with different properties depending on

    the local values of the scalar fields, compactifications, etc.

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    Example: SUSY landscapeExample: SUSY landscape

    V

    SU(5) SU(3)xSU(2)xU(1)SU(4)xU(1)

    Weinberg 1982: Supersymmetry forbids tunneling from SU(5) to

    SU(3)xSU(2)XU(1). This implied that we cannot break SU(5) symmetry.

    A.L. 1983: Inflation solves this problem. Inflationary fluctuations bring us toeach of the three minima. Inflation make each of the parts of the universe

    exponentially big. We can live only in the SU(3)xSU(2)xU(1) minimum.

    Supersymmetric SU(5)

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    Landscape of eternal inflationLandscape of eternal inflation

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    String Theory MultiverseString Theory Multiverse

    $$< 0< 0

    $$= 0= 0$$> 0> 0

    and eternal old inflationand eternal old inflation

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    Discrete and continuous parametersDiscrete and continuous parameters

    Properties of ourworld (local part of the universe) dependon 101000 discreteparameters(topological numbers,quantized fluxes, etc.), which describe our vacuum state.

    Beyond the landscape: Our world may depend on

    a continuousset of parameters,which took differentvalues during the cosmological evolution far away fromthe vacuum state.

    EXAMPLES:

    a) Axion field could take different values during inflation, which shouldaffect the local value of the density of dark matter.

    b) Affleck-Dine fields could take different values in different parts of the

    universe, thus affecting the local value of the baryon asymmetryof the

    universe.

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    Inflation and Cosmological ConstantInflation and Cosmological Constant

    1) Anthropic solutions of the CC problemusing inflation andfluxesof antisymmetric tensor fields (A.L. 1984), multiplicity of KK vacua

    (Sakharov 1984), and slowly evolving scalar field(Banks 1984, A.L.1986). We considered it obviousthat we cannot live in the universe with

    but the proof was needed for positive .

    2)Derivation of the anthropic constraint

    Weinberg 1987; Martel, Shapiro, Weinberg 1997,

    4 stepsin finding the anthropic solution of the CC problem:

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    Inflation and Cosmological ConstantInflation and Cosmological Constant

    3)String theory landscape

    Multiplicity of (unstable) vacua:

    Lerche, Lust and Schellekens 1987: 101500vacuum states

    Duff, 1986, 1987; Bousso, Polchinski 2000

    Vacuum stabilization and statistics:

    KKLT 2003, Susskind 2003, Douglas 2003,

    perhaps 10

    1000

    metastable dS vacuum states - still counting

    4)Counting probabilities in an eternallyinflating universe (more about it later)

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    Anthropic constraints onAnthropic constraints on $$Aguirre, Rees, Tegmark, and Wilczek, astro-ph/0511774

    observed valueobserved value

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    Dark EnergyDark Energy(Cosmological Constant)(Cosmological Constant)

    is about 74% of the cosmic pieis about 74% of the cosmic pie

    Dark MatterDark Matterconstitutes another 22% ofconstitutes another 22% of

    the pie.the pie. Why there is 5 times more darkWhy there is 5 times more dark

    matter than ordinary matter?matter than ordinary matter?

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    Example:Example: Dark matter in the axion fieldDark matter in the axion field

    Old lore: If the axion mass is smaller than 10-5

    eV,the amount of dark matter in the axion field contradicts

    observations, for a typical initial value of the axion field.

    Anthropic argument: Inflationary fluctuations make theamount of the axion dark matter a CONTINUOUS RANDOM

    PARAMETER.We can live only in those parts of the

    universe where the initial value of the axion field was

    sufficiently small (A.L. 1988).

    Recently this possibility was analyzed by Aguirre, Rees, Tegmark, and

    Wilczek.

    Can we give a scientific definition ofCan we give a scientific definition of typicaltypical??

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    Anthropic Constraints on Axion Dark MatterAnthropic Constraints on Axion Dark Matter

    Aguirre, Rees, Tegmark, and Wilczek, astro-ph/0511774

    The situation with Dark Matter is even better than with the CC !The situation with Dark Matter is even better than with the CC !

    observed valueobserved value

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    Problem:Problem: Eternal inflation creates infinitely many differentEternal inflation creates infinitely many differentparts of the universe, so we must compare infinitiesparts of the universe, so we must compare infinities

    What is so special about our world?What is so special about our world?

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    1.1. Study events at a given point, ignoring growth of volumeStudy events at a given point, ignoring growth of volume

    Starobinsky 1986, Garriga, Vilenkin 1998, Bousso 2006, A.L. 2006Starobinsky 1986, Garriga, Vilenkin 1998, Bousso 2006, A.L. 2006

    Two different approaches:Two different approaches:

    2.2. Take into account growth of volumeTake into account growth of volume

    A.L. 1986; A.L., D.Linde, Mezhlumian, Garcia-Bellido 1994;A.L. 1986; A.L., D.Linde, Mezhlumian, Garcia-Bellido 1994;

    Garriga, Schwarz-Perlov, Vilenkin, Winitzki 2005;Garriga, Schwarz-Perlov, Vilenkin, Winitzki 2005; A.L. 2007A.L. 2007

    No problems with infinities, but the results depend on initial conditions.No problems with infinities, but the results depend on initial conditions.

    It is not clear whether these methods are appropriate for description ofIt is not clear whether these methods are appropriate for description of

    eternal inflation, where the exponential growth of volume is crucial.eternal inflation, where the exponential growth of volume is crucial.

    No dependence on initial conditions, but we are still learning how to doNo dependence on initial conditions, but we are still learning how to do

    it properly. I will review some recent progress.it properly. I will review some recent progress.

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    V

    BB1BB3

    Boltzmann Brains are coming

    oltzmann Brains are coming

    Fortunately

    ortunately

    normal brains

    ormal brains

    are created even faster

    re created even faster

    due

    due

    to eternal inflation

    o eternal inflation

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    V

    3

    4 2 15

    Problems with probabilitiesProblems with probabilities

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    Time can be measured in the

    number of oscillations ( )

    or in the number of e-foldings ofinflation ( ). The universe

    expands as

    Unfortunately, the result depends on the time parametrization.

    is the

    growth of volume

    during inflation

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    t21

    t45

    t= 0

    We should compare the trees of bubbles not at the time when the trees

    were seeded, but at the time when the bubbles appear

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    If we want to compare apples to apples, instead of the trunks

    of the trees, we need to reset the time to the moment when

    the stationary regime of exponential growth begins. In this

    case we obtain the gauge-invariant result

    As expected, the probability is proportional to the rate of

    tunneling and to the growth of volume during inflation.

    A.L., arXiv:0705.1160

    A possible solution of this problem:A possible solution of this problem:

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    This result agrees with the expectation that theprobability to be born in a part of the universe

    which experienced inflation can be very large,because of the exponential growth of volumeduring inflation.

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    Applications: Probabilities and the solution of theApplications: Probabilities and the solution of the

    CC problem in the BP landscapeCC problem in the BP landscape

    The main source of volume of new bubbles is the tunneling from the

    fastest growing dS vacua with large vacuum energy towards the

    anthropic sphere with .

    If the tunneling occurs sequentially, between the nearby vacua, the

    process typically moves us to a minor fraction of the anthropic spherewith one of the fluxes being much greater than all others. This allows

    sharp predictions.One of the predictions - vacuum decay few billion

    years from now.

    However, if the tunneling with large jumps is possible due to nucleationof large stacks of branes (which seems plausible during the tunneling

    from the high energy dS vacua), then the probability distribution on the

    anthropic sphere becomes rather uniform,no doomsday.

    Clifton, Shenker, Sivanandam, arXiv:0706:3201

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    The cosmological constant problem is solved in this scenario

    in either case (small or large jumps): the probability

    distribution for the CC is flat and smooth near the anthropic

    sphere. It seems that the solution of the CC problem can beachieved with many different probability measures.

    Predictions of other features of our world, includingstability/instability of our vacuum, depend on the properties

    of the landscape, on the possibility of the nucleation of

    large stacks of branes, on the proper choice of theprobability measure, and on the duration of the slow-roll

    stage of inflation.

    Hopefully we will learn many new interesting

    things before the next Biermann lectures